It’s that time of year when predictions come out in full force, so it is refreshing and instructive to read something that calls for a more flexible approach. Better yet, it calls for collaboration.
One thing I would add to Dediu’s observations: predictions work best when the future looks a lot like the present, or the past. In more fluid environments, collective observation can play a critical role.
That argues for a change in our approach to more than just predictions. It’s not a case of “no future” in publishing, just not the future we might have predicted.